Key recession signals include the Leading Economic Index, Consumer Confidence Index, plunging lumber prices, and freight ...

The immediate, post-tariff announcement market reactions smacked of rising recession risk. Stocks dropped along with the dollar. Oil collapsed. Treasuries soared. Even gold sold off for a bit before ...

Unless the red flags signaling a recession become more pronounced, it probably won’t be clear whether the United States is in a recession until July. A recession requires at least two quarters of ...

For months, people have been talking about indicators of the dreaded R-word: recession. There have been the usual suspects: economists, investors, businesspeople and journalists. But maybe the most ...

Forbes contributors publish independent expert analyses and insights. I write about investing, markets and Berkshire Hathaway. Following the shockingly large downward revision last month, this month’s ...

The U.S. stock market seems to be casting aside worries that President Donald Trump’s tariffs risk causing a recession. “Forward earnings expectations remain remarkably resilient notwithstanding ...

Forbes contributors publish independent expert analyses and insights. I write about investing, markets and Berkshire Hathaway. Stocks and the 10-year US Treasury yield rose after the solid monthly ...

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For weeks, stock markets have been falling, and the plunge accelerated after President Donald Trump on April 2 unveiled U.S. tariffs on virtually every country. Several things tend to happen in ...

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President Trump's wide-ranging tariffs have sent the stock market tumbling and recession fears soaring. As the dust settles and markets wait for more information on the result of the administration's ...